The Work and Pensions Secretary will release figures showing how many people are long-term claimants of unemployment benefit and other welfare payments.
The statistics are likely to add to a Coalition row over the growing cost of social security payments, which economists say is hampering efforts to reduce the deficit.
It could also add to tensions within Labour over how to deal with the growing benefit budget.
In an annual report on his Social Justice Strategy, Mr Duncan Smith will publish statistics showing “the scale of entrenched social breakdown that has taken hold across Britain over the last decade”.
Even though there are 400,000 fewer people out of work than a year ago, Mr Duncan Smith will say, there are still too many people with a long-term dependency on benefits.
About one million people have been on work-related benefits for three out of the past four years. All of those claimants have been formally assessed as “capable of preparing for or looking for work,” the report will say. The one million is made up of people claiming jobseeker’s allowance or the work-related part of employment support allowance — the replacement for incapacity benefit — and some single parents claiming income support.
Mr Duncan Smith today briefed the Cabinet on his universal credit scheme, which will merge several benefits into one payment, meant to increase economic incentives for welfare claimants to take a job or increase their working hours.
Chris Skidmore, a member of the Free Enterprise Group of Conservative MPs, said the contributory principle in welfare should be strengthened, so that only people who had worked and paid taxes could claim full benefits. He said the current changes should be only the “first wave” in a bigger programme of reform.
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That's a lot of people but what are they to do if there are no jobs to be had? What are your thoughts about this?