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Britain's future in Europe is on a knife-edge, according to the shock results of an exclusive Sky News poll on how the country would vote in an EU referendum.
Asked if the UK should remain a member of the European Union, a tiny majority of voters said No. And the biggest concern to voters was the power to control immigration.
The poll, by Survation, will send shockwaves through the high command of the three major parties, whose leaders are all broadly in favour of Britain remaining in the EU.
But it will provide a huge boost for Nigel Farage's UKIP and Tory Euro-sceptics, suggesting there is everything to play for in the referendum promised by David Cameron in 2017.
Asked: "Do you think the UK should remain a member of the EU?" - 44% said Yes, 45% No and 11% Don't Know. When the answers were adjusted to exclude Don't Knows, the result was 49% Yes and 51% No.
The poll also suggests that even though a referendum could be four years away, the vast majority have made up their mind and will not be swayed by the political debate between now and 2017.
Asked: "How certain are you that you would actually vote this way in a real referendum?" - 51% said they would definitely vote this way and nothing could change their mind and 45% said they would probably vote this way.
The results of our poll will also boost UKIP in the answers voters gave when asked what powers they want to see clawed back from Brussels in negotiations promised by the Prime Minister.
Voters were asked: "If there was to be a renegotiation of the UK's relationship with the EU, which of the following areas (if any) currently under EU control would you most like to see returned to the UK?"
Way out in front, on 65% was the power to control immigration between EU countries, an issue championed by UKIP and identified by Mr Farage as his party's top priority.
Next came policing and criminal justice powers, such as the European Arrest Warrant, on 45%, and third employment law, on 40%, ahead of the Common Agricultural Policy and Common Fisheries Policy, on 36%.
Full article
Do you think the UK should remain a member of the European Union? Why or why not?