(The Guardian) Iran war to last into June at least, analyst predicts
The Commonwealth Bank of Australia’s top geopolitical strategist has warned that the Middle East conflict is likely to last “at least into June”, saying Donald Trump will not be able to unilaterally extract himself from his war on Iran.
Madison Cartright said we shouldn’t hope for a repeat of the Taco trade (or “Trump Always Chickens Out”) that had been a feature of his coercive trade policies. -- Tariff policy was the prerogative of the president. But he cannot unilaterally decide when to end the war with Iran.
As Australia’s national cabinet sits down to develop a united strategy to deal with the fuel crisis, Cartwright laid out why federal and state leaders should be planning for a longer conflict that stretches the country’s limited fuel reserves. -- Any lasting agreement to end the war must include Israel and Iran.
There is no common ground between Iranian demands and US demands at present. There is also a schism between the US and Israel. If the US were to end its participation in the war before meeting its objectives, Israel will likely continue the war. There is also no guarantee that Iran will open the strait of Hormuz if the US were to abruptly exit the war without negotiating an agreement favourable to Iran first.
The Commonwealth Bank of Australia’s top geopolitical strategist has warned that the Middle East conflict is likely to last “at least into June”, saying Donald Trump will not be able to unilaterally extract himself from his war on Iran.
Madison Cartright said we shouldn’t hope for a repeat of the Taco trade (or “Trump Always Chickens Out”) that had been a feature of his coercive trade policies. -- Tariff policy was the prerogative of the president. But he cannot unilaterally decide when to end the war with Iran.
As Australia’s national cabinet sits down to develop a united strategy to deal with the fuel crisis, Cartwright laid out why federal and state leaders should be planning for a longer conflict that stretches the country’s limited fuel reserves. -- Any lasting agreement to end the war must include Israel and Iran.
There is no common ground between Iranian demands and US demands at present. There is also a schism between the US and Israel. If the US were to end its participation in the war before meeting its objectives, Israel will likely continue the war. There is also no guarantee that Iran will open the strait of Hormuz if the US were to abruptly exit the war without negotiating an agreement favourable to Iran first.
